下列四种情况下,哪种情况能够产生最高的预期货币价值?
情况1情况2情况3情况4
概率现金流入概率现金流入概率现金流入概率现金流入
10%$50,00010%$50,00010%$50,00010%$150,000
20%75,00020%75,00020%75,00020%100,000
40%100,00045%100,00040%100,00040%75,000
30%150,00025%150,00030%125,00030%50,000
A情况1
B情况2
C情况3
D情况4
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正确答案
情况1能够产生最高的预期货币价值
情况1=0.1(S50,000)+0.2($75,000)+0.4($100,000)+0.3($150,000)
=$105,000
情况2=0.1($50,000)+0.2($75,000)+0.45($100,000)+0.25($150,000)
=$102,500
情况3=0.1(550,000)+0.2(S75,000)+0.4(5100,000)+0.3($125,000)
=$97,500
情况4=0.1($150,000)+0.2($100,000)+0.4($75,000)+0.3($50,000)
=$80,000
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解析同上
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